QED Signal golden ratio phoenix emblem
Live Strategy · XSP Calendar Spreads

Copy My Trades.
Keep the Profits.

A proven options strategy on the XSP — one trade per day, fully systematic. Get my exact fills delivered to your phone via Discord.

$0
Total P/L (81 trading days)
0%
Win Rate
0
Trading Days
Updated daily with every closed trade
Live Performance Data

The Numbers Don't Lie

Real trade data. QED Signal returned +76% on a $50k account while the S&P 500 returned +8.11% over the same period.

These numbers update daily as new trades close.
Total P/L
$38,000.34
Win Rate
64.2%
Avg Daily P/L
$469.14
Expected Value
+0.39R
Profit Factor
2.1
Recovery Factor
10.32x
Max Drawdown
-$3,682.52
vs S&P 500
+67.89%

Past performance is not indicative of future results. Options trading involves substantial risk of loss. Data shown reflects actual trades placed by the strategy founder.

The Strategy

One Trade a Day.
Let the Math Work.

QED Signal trades short calendar spreads on the XSP — the Mini S&P 500 Index. The strategy targets positions with approximately one week — five trading days — to expiration on the short leg, collecting premium as time decay accelerates into expiration. Then we walk away.

No guessing. No predicting. No adjustments. We let Theta decay and the Option Greeks do the work. The strategy has been live and tradeable since October 2022.

That premium-collection engine, however, is only the foundation. A set of volatility-based rules sits on top of it: we read the VIX and the broader volatility regime, and when it crosses defined thresholds the strategy adjusts how — and whether — it deploys. In elevated-volatility conditions we also layer in futures contracts as an additional hedge, dampening directional exposure so the position is protected when the market moves hardest.

We trade XSP specifically because it is European-style and cash-settled — eliminating the risk of early assignment that comes with SPY. It is also more tax-efficient, with gains split 60% long-term / 40% short-term under Section 1256 of the Tax Code.

The edge: When the market makes a large move in one direction, it creates a “pocket of profitability” that pays out approximately a week later — giving the strategy a built-in hedge against volatility.

Why XSP, not SPY or SPX?
European-styleCash-settled — zero early assignment risk
Tax-advantaged60/40 long/short term split (Sec. 1256)
Capital-efficientLower margin requirements than SPX
Daily expirationsDaily expirations on XSP have only been available since October 2022
How It Works

Simple. Systematic. Delivered.

01
Trade Executes
Every trading day at 3:00–3:30 PM EST, the founder places the XSP calendar spread trade in his Schwab account.
02
Alert Fires
The moment the order fills, an alert is sent to the private Discord server.
03
You Get Notified
Your phone buzzes with the exact trade details — ticker, strikes, expiration dates, and fill price.
04
Copy or Watch
Place the same trade in your own account, or simply follow along to learn the strategy firsthand.

A Community, Not Just Alerts

The private Discord server is an active community where subscribers discuss the strategy, share observations, and ask questions directly. The founder participates daily. This is not a fire-and-forget signal service — it is a learning environment for serious traders.

Discord Server
Full community access, strategy discussion, Q&A with the founder
Instant Alerts
Every trade alert delivered in real-time with push notifications to your phone
First Iteration · Oct 2022 – Dec 2023

Where It Started

Before QED Signal, the founder developed and traded the original version of this strategy starting in October 2022. The data below covers the first recorded iteration — a similar but distinct formula that proved the core concept worked.

Total P/L
$89,287.5
Win Rate
59.9%
Avg Daily P/L
$328.26
Expected Value
+0.17R
Profit Factor
1.43
Recovery Factor
3.29x
Max Drawdown
-$27,170
vs S&P 500
+63.09%

Past performance is not indicative of future results. This data represents the first iteration of the strategy, which has since been refined.

Pricing

Simple, Risk-Free Entry

Try the strategy for 90 days. If we don't make a profit, you get every dollar back.

Start Here — Risk Free
90-Day Trial
$500one-time
First 3 months (90 calendar days)
Full Discord community access
Real-time trade alerts + push notifications
Every trade alert, every day
Direct access to the founder
100% refund if no profit in 90 days
Get Started — $500
Ongoing Access
$250/month
After the 90-day trial period
Everything in the 90-day trial
Continued Discord access
All daily trade alerts
Cancel anytime
Available after trial completion

90-Day Profit Guarantee

If QED Signal does not generate a profit over the first 90 calendar days of your subscription, you receive a full refund of your $500. No questions asked.

Why do we offer this? Because we earned it. The historical data in the “Where It Started” section above is the first iteration of this strategy — unfiltered, warts and all. We show you that data precisely because we have nothing to hide.

That first version still outpaced the S&P 500 over its full run. The current strategy is a refined evolution of it. We believe in the long-term edge — and the guarantee is how we put our money where our mouth is.

Account Requirements

To place these trades in a Charles Schwab account, you will need a minimum of $50,000 to meet the margin requirements for selling options. Other brokers may have different requirements.

Not ready to trade real money? You are welcome to follow along in a paper trading account at no additional cost.

FAQ

Common Questions

Because the historical data is honest. If you scroll down to the "Where It Started" section, you will see the first iteration of this strategy — every trade, every losing streak. There were 90-day windows where the rolling average went negative, and we would have owed refunds. We show that data openly because it is real. The strategy still beat the S&P 500 over its full run, and the current version is a refined improvement. The guarantee exists because we believe in the long-term edge and we are willing to back that belief with our own money.

No — you can follow along with any broker that supports multi-leg options orders and allows you to sell spreads. If you use Schwab, you will need at least $50,000 in your account to meet their margin requirements for selling options. Other brokers may require more or less. You are also welcome to follow in a paper trading account at no extra cost.

It is a multi-leg options strategy on the XSP (Mini S&P 500 Index) where you buy a near-term option and sell a longer-dated option at the same strike — the opposite of a long calendar spread. The strategy targets approximately one week — five trading days — to expiration on the short leg, collecting premium as time decay accelerates. However, that is not the entirety of this strategy. There are volatility-based conditions layered on top — if the VIX is at a certain level, the approach adjusts accordingly. In higher-volatility regimes we also use futures contracts as an additional hedge to manage directional risk, so the position stays protected when the market moves sharply.

Alerts are delivered via a private Discord server. You will also receive a push notification on your phone through the Discord app. When a trade is placed, the alert goes out immediately so you have time to mirror the position.

If you choose to continue, the service moves to $250/month with no long-term commitment. There is no money-back guarantee on the monthly plan — that is a trial-period benefit only. You can cancel at any time.

Selling uncovered or partially covered options spreads is generally not permitted in IRAs due to margin restrictions. Most custodians only allow defined-risk spreads in retirement accounts. Check with your specific broker before subscribing if you intend to trade this in a tax-advantaged account.

You can subscribe, but we strongly encourage you to start in a paper trading account. This strategy involves multi-leg orders, margin requirements, and time-sensitive execution. If you do not understand how to enter a spread order in your brokerage platform, you risk placing the wrong trade. The alerts tell you what to do, not how to do it.

This Service Is for Experienced Options Traders Only

Options trading is one of the most complex disciplines in financial markets. Selling calendar spreads involves multi-leg orders, margin requirements, and time-sensitive execution. If you do not have a solid working knowledge of options — including how spreads are constructed, what the Greeks mean, and how to enter a multi-leg order in your brokerage platform — you will not be able to execute this strategy correctly.

QED Signal delivers trade alerts, not hand-holding. Before subscribing, you should be comfortable placing options trades independently and understand that a misplaced order can result in significant, unintended losses. If you are new to options, we strongly encourage you to study the mechanics thoroughly — or begin by following along in a paper trading account.